Arigat?, But No Arigat?

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What's going on?

On Wednesday, Japanese conglomerate SoftBank reported third-quarter results which revealed the companys first quarterly loss in 14 years. And we already know whos to blame

What does this mean?

SoftBank has poured over $10 billion into co-working space company WeWork both directly and via the $100 billion Vision Fund, its venture capital investment subsidiary. But after SoftBank bailed out WeWork following a highly publicized fall from grace in which its valuation shrank from $47 billion in January to just $8 billion last quarter the value of the company was reduced by $4.6 billion on SoftBanks books, leading to a major accounting loss. Adding insult to injury and losses to its bottom line some of SoftBanks other investments also did poorly during the quarter: Uber, Slack, and Guardant Healths stocks all lost roughly a third of their value.

Why should I care?

For markets: A little bit of both.


At its core, SoftBank is a defensive telecom company, meaning its earnings should be pretty stable and predictable. But loss-making companies such as Uber and Slack are cyclical: they have less predictable earnings that ebb and flow with the economic tide, making SoftBank which has bet big on these companies a riskier choice for investors than a traditional telecom company (tweet this).



The bigger picture: A brave new world dot com.


SoftBank is, erm, banking on both the digitization of the new economy and like several others in industries from healthcare to banks on growth outside Japan. That might work out in the long run, but it can expect a bumpy road for now. Whether investors are prepared to sign up for that journey and back another $100 billion Vision Fund remains to be seen: Saudi Arabia and Abu Dhabi, the current Vision Funds two major investors, seem reluctant to commit to another round in the wake of the WeWork turmoil.

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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