Sink Or Swim

Image source: d1sk, SciePro - Shutterstock

What's going on?

As the pandemic starts to resurface, investors are getting out of the water pronto: they sold off shares around the world on Monday. Du-nuh… Du-nuh…

What does this mean?

Coronavirus is on the rise again: the UK, to take one example, reckons it’s on track for 50,000 new cases a day by mid-October if no action’s taken. So to avoid that sort of spread and the death toll that’d likely follow, countries might be forced to roll out new regional or national lockdowns. And given that the last ones led to the worst-ever contractions in giant economies like the US and eurozone, it’s perhaps no surprise that investors – most of whom were anticipating an economic recovery by now – ditched the stocks most likely to feel the effects of another slowdown. Or, if things get really bad, another halt on economic comings and goings altogether…

Why should I care?

For markets: A leisurely selloff.

Among the worst-hit stocks were those in the travel and leisure industries. No surprises there: hotels, restaurants, and bars are all facing costly restrictions on business hours and service etiquette – if they can stay open at all. Airlines, likewise, will earn less money if all-but-essential travel is stopped again. That’d be why shares of British Airways owner IAG fell 12%, while even low-cost carriers Easyjet and Ryanair – whose short-haul routes are expected to recover more quickly than their larger rivals’ long-haul trips – were down 8% and 5% respectively.

The bigger picture: When they zig, you zag.
The US’s key stock market index fell to its lowest level since July on Monday, perhaps reflecting concerns that Europe’s resurgence will spread Stateside or hurt American companies that have large international segments. Some analysts might say it’s about time to start looking elsewhere for opportunities – like, say, smaller American companies’ stocks, or those outside the States altogether.

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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