Dead Trend

Image source: Zarya Maxim Alexandrovich - Shutterstock

What's going on?

Peloton reported worse-than-expected results late last week, as its audiences devotion to the latest fitness fad once again ran out of steam.

What does this mean?

With gyms back in action last quarter, at-home exercise equipment fell out of favor and Pelotons revenue growth dropped off dramatically. That, coupled with costs from an expensive treadmill recall, saw the company post a bigger-than-expected loss. It wasnt optimistic about this quarter either: Peloton just slashed the price of its exercise bikes by around 20% in an attempt to get customers back on its saddles, and itll be shifting its business back toward less-profitable treadmills. And its a good thing Peloton likes to feel the burn, because this class isnt over yet: the company also revealed itd found a problem with the way its been valuing its inventory. That wont change any of its previous financial reports, but its bound to make investors break out in a sweat…

Why should I care?

For markets: Someone get the Deep Heat.
Peloton had a heck of a run in 2020, with its shares rising more than 400% as people took to exercising at home during lockdown. But the companys stock plummeted almost 10% on Friday after the disappointing results, which is just another painful cramp in a year full of them: Pelotons lost more than 30% of its value this year.

The bigger picture: So much for a solo ride.
Even worse, Peloton which as recently as last year had the connected fitness market all to itself now has to go toe to toe with the likes of Hydrow, Tonal, and Lululemon-owned Mirror. And those chiseled rivals are already starting to push Peloton to its limits: last weeks exercise bike price cut was the second one in less than a year, and the company spent almost three times as much on sales and marketing last quarter compared to the same time last year.

Originally posted as part of the Finimize daily email.

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